Who answers the phone?
The hyper-rational part of my brain thinks that Bush ought to be re-elected because America is so dangerous that the world's only hope is in weakening its power, and four more years of Bush will guarantee the long-lasting isolation of the "sole superpower."
The emotional part of me can't stand the thought of the bastard winning.
There's an interesting new column about polls by Jimmy Breslin: Making call on sham of political polling. I have wondered for years how telephone polls could be accurate when they include only people willing to talk to strangers. I use answering machines and never talk to anybody I don't know. Breslin brings up something I'd never thought about: people who use only cell phones, which are not accessible to pollsters at all. In fact, I know one of these people, a young teacher I work with. A couple of months ago she asked me whether she should vote here (California) or in her home state (Pennsylvania), and I told her that a vote in Pennsylvania is worth much more. There is no possibility that a pollster has ever asked her about her intentions.
At any rate, the Gallup/CNN/USA Today polls have gotten so bad that no one can possibly be taking them seriously. Zogby doesn't use phones, and the September 7 Zogby poll (taken when Bush still had a 12-point lead according to most of the others) produces an electoral vote count of Bush 231, Kerry 307.
The emotional part of me can't stand the thought of the bastard winning.
There's an interesting new column about polls by Jimmy Breslin: Making call on sham of political polling. I have wondered for years how telephone polls could be accurate when they include only people willing to talk to strangers. I use answering machines and never talk to anybody I don't know. Breslin brings up something I'd never thought about: people who use only cell phones, which are not accessible to pollsters at all. In fact, I know one of these people, a young teacher I work with. A couple of months ago she asked me whether she should vote here (California) or in her home state (Pennsylvania), and I told her that a vote in Pennsylvania is worth much more. There is no possibility that a pollster has ever asked her about her intentions.
At any rate, the Gallup/CNN/USA Today polls have gotten so bad that no one can possibly be taking them seriously. Zogby doesn't use phones, and the September 7 Zogby poll (taken when Bush still had a 12-point lead according to most of the others) produces an electoral vote count of Bush 231, Kerry 307.
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